Economy
Throughout the 1990s,
Pakistan’s economy suffered
for a number of reasons, but
from 2002 to 2004
the economy has recovered
as a result of
changes in government
policies and the
resumption of international
lending. Economic
statistics do not reflect the reality of the economy,
because official economic data omit the informal
economy, which is estimated to equal about 30 percent
of the formal economy. Agriculture employs the
greatest proportion of the working population but accounts
for less than 25 percent of gross domestic product
(GDP). This discrepancy is the result of rapid
growth in services and industry since the 1980s, although
major industries, such as textiles and sugar,
are heavily reliant on agriculture.
Since independence, economic growth rates have
been impressive but also have fluctuated widely. These
fluctuations have occurred largely because successive
governments have emphasized different sectors
through changes in subsidies, regulations, and state
ownership of industry. Furthermore, shifts in international
aid and foreign capital flows have influenced economic
growth
through changes in
government spending
and budget deficits.
Still, from 2002 to
2004 there were surpluses
in the current
account, inflation was
low, and export
growth was the highest
in almost a decade.
Economic liberalization
and deregulation began in the
early 1980s, continued
through the 1990s, and have
accelerated under the government
of President Pervez
Musharraf (1999). The government
has shifted from state
ownership of many industries
and heavy regulation of the private
economy to privatization of some
state industries, deregulation, facilitation
of capital flows, and reforms of the
financial system and monetary policy.
Still, lax fiscal and monetary policies,
infrastructural deficiencies, a poorly developed
human resource base, and persistent
market distortions that benefit a
small elite of landowners, industrialists,
and others undercut economic potential.
According to World Bank data, in
2003 Pakistan’s GDP was US$68.6 billion, gross national
income (GNI) per capita was US$430, and PPP
per capita was US$2,060. GDP grew an average of
5.4 percent annually from 1961 to 2003, but average
annual GDP growth from 1993 to 2003 was lower, at
3.4 percent.
Tourism
According to government statistics, the number
of foreign tourists declined throughout the 1990s, as
did earnings from foreign tourism. The number of foreign
tourists ranged from 80,000 to 180,000 from the
mid-1980s to the mid-1990s but dropped to around
70,000 annually thereafter. Pakistan receives about 6
percent of the foreign tourists who visit South Asia.
Foreign exchange receipts from tourists peaked at
US$156.5 million in 1990 but dropped to US$117
million by the end of the 1990s. The decline in foreign
tourists is believed to be due to security concerns and
lack of government effort to attract tourists.
Foreign Economic Relations
Pakistan is a member of the Asian Development
Bank (ADB), the Colombo Plan, the South Asian Association
for Regional Cooperation (SAARC), and
the United Nations Economic and Social Commission
for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP). It has freetrade
arrangements (FTAs) with China, Sri Lanka, and
the European Union, and by the end of 2004 had
sought FTAs with Mexico and the United States. Historically,
political issues have affected Pakistan’s for-eign trade and aid. In 1998 the United States and international
donors imposed sanctions because of
Pakistan’s successful nuclear tests. Those sanctions
were dropped after the September 11, 2001, terrorist
attacks because the United States regarded Pakistan
as an important ally against transnational terrorists
operating out of Afghanistan.
Government Overview
The government is based on the much-amended
constitution of 1973, which was suspended twice (in
1977 and 1999) and reinstated twice (in 1985 and
2002). According to the constitution, Pakistan is a federal
parliamentary system with a president as head of
state and a prime minister as head of government.
Politics in Pakistan often have not operated according
to the constitution. The military and Civil Service
of Pakistan (CSP) frequently have been the preeminent
actors in the country’s power structure, and
in 1999 General Pervez Musharraf assumed power in
a military coup. Moreover, there has been some concern
that Pakistan could become a “failed state” because
of the apparent inability of any single entity to
control the country, the weakened productivity of a
population beset by years of economic difficulties, and
continuing problems of communal conflict and terrorism.
Ethnic and provincial tensions often are manifested
in rivalries between political parties, and several governments
have been ended by assassination or military
coup rather than by formal, electoral change.
Religion has played an important role in politics,
and religious differences have been very salient in Pakistani
government and civil society. The government
has consistently been faced with tensions of whether
and how to synthesize Islamic principles into an essentially
secular and Western form of government.
Religious differences among politically influential actors
have become increasingly prominent since the
early 1980s, when politics became more religiously
oriented under the rule of General Zia ul-Haq (1977–
88). As religious groups’ access to government resources
increased, groups competed for political resources
and the capacity to promote their approach
to Islam, and sectarian divisions often became violent.
<<previous page
|